Alpha Metallurgical Valuation
| AMR Stock | USD 206.32 4.56 2.26% |
At this time, the firm appears to be overvalued. Alpha Metallurgical shows a prevailing Real Value of $183.62 per share. The current price of the firm is $206.32. Our model approximates the value of Alpha Metallurgical from analyzing the firm fundamentals such as Profit Margin of (0.02) %, return on equity of -0.0287, and Current Valuation of 2.2 B as well as examining its technical indicators and probability of bankruptcy. Key fundamental drivers impacting Alpha Metallurgical's valuation include:
Price Book 1.6662 | Enterprise Value | Enterprise Value Ebitda 17.2759 | Price Sales 1.2097 | Forward PE 2.6582 |
Overvalued
Today
Please note that Alpha Metallurgical's price fluctuation is very steady at this time. Calculation of the real value of Alpha Metallurgical is based on 3 months time horizon. Increasing Alpha Metallurgical's time horizon generally increases the accuracy of value calculation and significantly improves the predictive power of the methodology used.
The fair value of the Alpha stock is determined by what a typical buyer is willing to pay for full or partial control of Alpha Metallurgical Resources. Since Alpha Metallurgical is currently traded on the exchange, buyers and sellers on that exchange determine the market value of Alpha Stock. However, Alpha Metallurgical's intrinsic value may or may not be the same as its current market price, in which case there is an opportunity to profit from the mispricing, assuming the market price will eventually merge with its intrinsic value. | Historical | Market 206.32 | Real 183.62 | Target 204.0 | Hype 206.32 | Naive 191.99 |
The intrinsic value of Alpha Metallurgical's stock can be calculated using various methods such as discounted cash flow analysis, price-to-earnings ratio, or price-to-book ratio. That value may differ from its current market price, which is determined by supply and demand factors such as investor sentiment, market trends, news, and other external factors that may influence Alpha Metallurgical's stock price. It is important to note that the real value of any stock may change over time based on changes in the company's performance.
Estimating the potential upside or downside of Alpha Metallurgical Resources helps investors to forecast how Alpha stock's addition to their portfolios will impact the overall performance. We also use other valuation drivers to help us estimate the true value of Alpha Metallurgical more accurately as focusing exclusively on Alpha Metallurgical's fundamentals will not take into account other important factors: Traditionally, analysts and sophisticated investors use multiple methods for valuing a cash-flow-generating entity or its stock. For example, some money managers use Alpha Metallurgical's intrinsic value based on its ongoing forecasts of Alpha Metallurgical's financial statements. In contrast, other private, professional wealth advisors use a multiplier approach by looking to relative value analysis against Alpha Metallurgical's closest peers.
Alpha Metallurgical Cash |
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Alpha Revenue by Product
Alpha Metallurgical Total Value Analysis
Alpha Metallurgical Resources is presently expected to have company total value of 2.2 B with market capitalization of 2.69 B, debt of 5.78 M, and cash on hands of 481.58 M. Please note that company total value may be misleading and is a subject to accounting gimmicks. We encourage investors to carefully check all of the Alpha Metallurgical fundamentals before making security assessment based on enterprise value of the company| Takeover Price | Market Cap | Debt Obligations | Cash |
2.2 B | 2.69 B | 5.78 M | 481.58 M |
Alpha Metallurgical Investor Information
About 13.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 1.67. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Alpha Metallurgical recorded a loss per share of 3.59. The entity last dividend was issued on the 30th of November 2023. Alpha Metallurgical Resources may be sliding down financialy. It has an above-average likelihood of going through some form of financial trouble next quarter.| Current Value | Last Year | Change From Last Year | 10 Year Trend | ||||||
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| Total Cash From Operating Activities | 427.2 M | 666.9 M |
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Alpha Metallurgical Asset Utilization
The concept of asset utilization usually refers to the revenue earned for every dollar of assets a company currently reports. The latest return on assets of Alpha connotes not a very effective usage of assets in February.Alpha Metallurgical Profitability Analysis
Taking into consideration Alpha Metallurgical's profitability measurements, Alpha Metallurgical Resources is yielding more profit at the present time then in previous quarter. It has a moderate likelihood of reporting better profitability numbers in March. Profitability indicators assess Alpha Metallurgical's ability to earn profits and add value for shareholders.Net Income | First Reported 2016-03-31 | Previous Quarter -5 M | Current Value -5.5 M | Quarterly Volatility 153.3 M |
For Alpha Metallurgical profitability analysis, we use financial ratios and fundamental drivers that measure the ability of Alpha Metallurgical to generate income relative to revenue, assets, operating costs, and current equity. These fundamental indicators attest to how well Alpha Metallurgical utilizes its assets to generate profit and value for its shareholders. The profitability module also shows relationships between Alpha Metallurgical's most relevant fundamental drivers. It provides multiple suggestions of what could affect the performance of Alpha Metallurgical over time as well as its relative position and ranking within its peers.
Alpha Metallurgical Earnings per Share Projection vs Actual
The next projected EPS of Alpha Metallurgical is estimated to be 0.52 with future projections ranging from a low of 0.52 to a high of 0.52. Alpha Metallurgical's most recent 12-month trailing earnings per share (EPS TTM) is at -3.59. Please be aware that the consensus of earnings estimates for Alpha Metallurgical Resources is based on EPS before non-recurring items and includes expenses related to employee stock options.Alpha Metallurgical Earnings Estimation Breakdown
The calculation of Alpha Metallurgical's earning per share is based on the data from the past 12 consecutive months, used for reporting the company's financial figures. The next projected EPS of Alpha Metallurgical is estimated to be 0.52 with the future projection ranging from a low of 0.52 to a high of 0.52. Please be aware that this consensus of annual earnings estimates for Alpha Metallurgical Resources is based on EPS before non-recurring items and includes expenses related to employee stock options.Last Reported EPS
0.52 Lowest | Expected EPS | 0.52 Highest |
Alpha Metallurgical Earnings Projection Consensus
Suppose the current estimates of Alpha Metallurgical's value are higher than the current market price of the Alpha Metallurgical stock. In this case, investors may conclude that Alpha Metallurgical is overpriced and will exhibit bullish sentiment. On the other hand, if the present value is lower than the stock price, analysts may conclude that the market undervalues the equity. These scenarios may suggest that the market is not as efficient as it should be at the estimation time, and Alpha Metallurgical's stock will quickly adjusts to the new information provided by the consensus estimate.
| Number of Analysts | Historical Accuracy | Last Reported EPS | Estimated EPS for 31st of March 2026 | Current EPS (TTM) | |
| 3 | 49.62% | 0.0 | 0.52 | -3.59 |
Alpha Metallurgical Ownership Allocation
The market capitalization of Alpha Metallurgical is $2.69 Billion. The majority of Alpha Metallurgical Resources outstanding shares are owned by other corporate entities. These outside corporations are usually referred to as non-private investors looking to acquire positions in Alpha Metallurgical to benefit from reduced commissions. Consequently, institutional investors are subject to a different set of regulations than regular investors in Alpha Metallurgical. Please pay attention to any change in the institutional holdings of Alpha Metallurgical Resources as this could imply that something significant has changed or is about to change at the company. Also note that nearly six hundred thirteen thousand three hundred twenty-eight invesors are currently shorting Alpha Metallurgical expressing very little confidence in its future performance.Alpha Metallurgical Profitability Analysis
The company reported the last year's revenue of 2.96 B. Total Income to common stockholders was 187.58 M with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 239.43 M.About Alpha Metallurgical Valuation
The stock valuation mechanism determines Alpha Metallurgical's current worth on a daily basis. In general, an absolute valuation approach attempts to find the value of Alpha Metallurgical based exclusively on its fundamental and basic technical indicators. As compared to an absolute model, our relative valuation model uses a comparative analysis of Alpha Metallurgical. We calculate exposure to Alpha Metallurgical's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, and relevant financial multiples and ratios and then compare them to those of Alpha Metallurgical's related companies.| Last Reported | Projected for Next Year | ||
| Gross Profit | 381.4 M | 430.1 M | |
| Pretax Profit Margin | 0.06 | 0.07 | |
| Operating Profit Margin | 0.07 | 0.07 | |
| Net Profit Margin | 0.06 | 0.06 | |
| Gross Profit Margin | 0.11 | 0.10 |
Alpha Metallurgical Growth Indicators
Investing in growth stocks can be very risky. If the company such as Alpha Metallurgical does not do well, investors take a loss on the stock when it is time to sell. Also, because growth stocks typically do not pay dividends, the only opportunity an investor has to make money on their investment is when they eventually sell their shares.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 13.1 M | |
| Quarterly Earnings Growth Y O Y | -0.956 | |
| Forward Price Earnings | 2.6582 |
Alpha Metallurgical Current Valuation Indicators
Alpha Metallurgical's valuation analysis is a process of estimating the intrinsic value of all assets and outstanding equities. There are different methodologies and models we use to develop the final Alpha Metallurgical's valuation. The techniques such as discounted cash flow and fundamental indicators such as book value per share or market capitalization are well known and widely used across most financial advisers and money managers.
Valuations are an essential part of business, for companies themselves, but also for investors. For companies, such as Alpha Metallurgical, valuations can help measure their progress and success and can help them track their performance in the market compared to others. In addition, investors can use Alpha Metallurgical's valuations to help determine the worth of potential investments. They can do this by using data and information made public by a company. Regardless of who the valuation is for, it essentially describes Alpha Metallurgical's worth.Additional Tools for Alpha Stock Analysis
When running Alpha Metallurgical's price analysis, check to measure Alpha Metallurgical's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Alpha Metallurgical is operating at the current time. Most of Alpha Metallurgical's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Alpha Metallurgical's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Alpha Metallurgical's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Alpha Metallurgical to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.